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The current meme going around seems to be electoral maps. We've all seen the state-by-state electoral breakdown, but here are some of the more interesting versions I've seen:

At http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/countymap.htm, a map of Democratic and Republican votes, broken down by county rather than by state:


At http://www.electoral-vote.com/carto/nov04c.html, a "cartogram," which is apparently a map scaled to population rather than area:


From http://www.boingboing.net. This map describes just the margin of victory. Each state is colored a shade of purple depending on how many Republican (red) or Democrat (blue) votes it got. This gives a much better idea of how mixed the vote was:


[livejournal.com profile] moominmolly and [livejournal.com profile] claudia_ each posted a purple cartogram, combining the last two ideas. I think they did this independently, but I'm not sure. [livejournal.com profile] claudia_ posted her version here:


And [livejournal.com profile] moominmolly's is here:


I think this one is my favorite. A purple map drawn by county rather than by state. From KieranHealy.org.


Kieran links to a really huge version of this one: 1547x1053, 400KB.

Date: 2004-11-04 01:27 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] moominmolly.livejournal.com
Yay, you put them all up! I love that last one.

Yeah, we apparently did it independently -- [livejournal.com profile] fennel pointed this out to me, too.

Date: 2004-11-04 01:33 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Default)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
Somebody had to do it. The MAP MADNESS must be COAGULATED.

Date: 2004-11-04 01:34 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] moominmolly.livejournal.com
COUNTY CARTOGRAM!!!

Date: 2004-11-04 01:45 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] wispfox.livejournal.com
I love the last map! MAPMAPMAPMAPMAP!

Date: 2004-11-04 02:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ian-gunn.livejournal.com
How about a purple county cartogram?

Date: 2004-11-04 02:12 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (2632)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
The PURPLE COUNTY CARTOGRAM is the one that a lot of people have expressed interest in. I think that nobody who has the data and expertise to do this (I sure don't) has had the energy to do it yet. :-)

Date: 2004-11-04 02:30 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
Hear hear -- the last one is exactly the one I'd wanted to see, after seeing USA Today's county maps and BoingBoing's purple map. Thank you!

It's interesting how little some things change in it, compared to the USA Today map. County divisions are still real.

Were you also bothered by the USAT map's lacking data for Chicago?

Date: 2004-11-04 02:38 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hissilliness.livejournal.com
That last is fascinating. I'd always envisioned the Bible Belt as pretty much east-west, but it comes in clearly vertical on the county map.

It's interesting comparing it with a plain political map. The blue blotch linking Santa Fe and Denver is intriguing. What are those two bright blue counties in what appears to be South Dakota? Reservations?

Note also the sprinkling of strong blue in Black counties of the Southeast.

Date: 2004-11-04 02:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] m00nglum.livejournal.com
That last one is awesome! (a.k.a. Me Too!)

Date: 2004-11-04 02:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mattlistener.livejournal.com
Interestingly enough, the Appalachian mountain range is pretty evident on this purely political map.

I'm curious why Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Northern Texas, shade redder from East to West, which then stops at the state border.

Date: 2004-11-04 02:51 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Quinn on shoulders)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
There's a pretty strong correlation between Democratic counties and counties that contain at least one large metropolitan area. That's the significance of the county boundaries.

My co-worker put it this way: "Any time you have a lot of people crammed into a small space, they end up in the party that makes you get along with each other."

I didn't actually notice that the USA Today map didn't include Chicago results. Hmm.

Date: 2004-11-04 02:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
As [livejournal.com profile] reesei says, "water makes people liberal". =)

Of course, I don't actually believe it's something in the water; rather, just that big cities tend towards liberalism. I'd love an explanation (from a conservative) of that.

Date: 2004-11-04 03:05 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hammercock.livejournal.com
The link to Claudia's map appears broken. But thanks for collating them all into one post!

SIlly...

Date: 2004-11-04 03:12 pm (UTC)
ext_116349: (Default)
From: [identity profile] opalmirror.livejournal.com
Click on map to see it larger...
Image (http://www.livejournal.com/users/opalmirror/7156.html)

Date: 2004-11-04 03:13 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Default)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
Sorry, it looks like that site is temporarily down. See her journal for an alternate URL.

Date: 2004-11-04 03:56 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
This could be a chicken-or-egg problem, but isn't it true that cities tend to draw liberal types? Most have several large universities, which disproportionately attract and graduate liberals, and many people end uop sticking around the cities where they went to college. (I know I did.) Also, traditionally liberal groups, like Jews, African-Americans, and queer folk are concentrated in cities. It could be argued that the queers came for the tolerance, but it's clearer that the others ended up there for historical socioeconomic reasons.

Date: 2004-11-04 04:10 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
See, that's exactly why I want to know if there's any sort of canonical conservative answer. The city division isn't about money -- you find poor folks in both Chicago and Oklahoma. It could be about race, although is Schelling's hypothesis (http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/models/Segregation) enough to explain why cities are clusters?

It seems awfully convenient to think that being exposed to different types of people makes one more tolerant (where "tolerant" is kinda a loaded word). But even that's not the only issue. Take gun control. Maybe you're more likely to believe in gun control when you're in a high population density area? And so on.

Date: 2004-11-04 06:44 pm (UTC)
jadelennox: Senora Sabasa Garcia, by Goya (Default)
From: [personal profile] jadelennox
{from friendsfriends}

I found some good congressional district cartograms at http://www.ncgia.ucsb.edu/projects/Cartogram_Central/goal.html , if someone with the expertise want to colour them in. :)

Date: 2004-11-04 06:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] queenmomcat.livejournal.com
Oh, bleep. I've gone and done something cool AGAIN...without meaning to. (The first was learning to knit socks, right at the peak of the trend's popularity.) And here I thought only geeky reference librarians got all over excited about the county by county breakdown of the presidential vote.

Date: 2004-11-04 07:19 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
I think I dropped the ball in actually responding to this, last response. Sorry about that. I suspect that large universities either are born in metropolitan areas, or that cities grow up around them, based on opportunities in either direction. I also believe that many people, having lived in a city for a while, grow used to what cities can offer and thus tend to stay around them. I think this will actually lessen over time -- now that Amazon ships darn near everywhere, the need to have good local bookstores isn't as great as it was 10 years ago.

As far as group concentrations, I think you're right about the historical reasons. I was thinking about New Mexico and my grandparents owning a bit of land, and [livejournal.com profile] reesei pointed out to me that they were white, and relatively well-off, being professorial types, and pre-Civil Rights, it was insanely difficult for African-Americans to own land. So they moved to the cities, 'cause that's where the money was, and at least in Chicago's case, have been there since.

Unfortunately, all that is to say that I think you're right, that was a chicken-or-egg thing, and we're back to the original question. Maybe your stock liberal, living in a big city, is exposed to more people who need help, and are thus more inclined to help them? This still seems like it's suffering from definitional blindness to me.

Date: 2004-11-05 12:41 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] reesei.livejournal.com
On the last point - my take on that is slightly different. Now, I'm a biochemist not a social philosopher so I'm probably being very simplistic about this, and lots of people we know could probably tear my arguments apart. But oh well.

People tend to define "us" as the group surrounding them. In the bible belt, your "us" is a small community, often built around churches as a community organization, and large extended families. If anyone in their community needs help, they take care of them... and if someone needs help, people know it. It's a great system as far as it goes.

When you live in a big city, your "us" group has to encompass more people than you can personally know. And there are a lot more cracks to fall through... the personal support net has a looser weave. And not everyone belongs to the same church, and in fact not everyone even belongs to a church. And the population is more mobile, so the extended family unit is missing too. So people in big cities are used to passing the charity duty off to the government, because otherwise there is no one there to help.

People in small towns say "hey, we take care of our own, why should those city folk get the benefit of our tax dollars to take care of theirs? Stupid lazy godless welfare-state people."

People in big cities say "but you're getting _our_ tax dollars for your highways, farm subsidies, phone/water/electricity hookups, etc, at a much greater dollar-distributed-for-dollar-taken rate. What are you whining about?" (note: went to go check my facts before posting this... found this (http://www.nemw.org/fundsrank.htm). Note bottom 14 return-on-tax-dollar states: they're pretty much all blue. We're the ones getting taxed more and served less, and we're _still_ for larger government.)

And then we're stalemated.

And yes, I do see the value of not-big-city lifestyle... after all, I'm the insane one who is trying to go _back_ to the midwest, albeit in a college-town environment, which is more blue than most of it.

Date: 2004-11-05 12:47 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] reesei.livejournal.com
Shannon and Todd counties, by comparison to a South Dakota county map, from this page. (http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/south_dakota.html)

And from another map on the same page... yes, the blue spots are all reservations. The ones along the bottom are the Pine Ridge and Rosebud reservations; the larger splotch at the top are the Standing Rock and Cheyenne River reservations.

Even better map

Date: 2004-11-05 01:29 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Hi, you might be interested in my maps here

http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/10/red-and-blue-mapping-votes.html

I think they're the best but of course I'm biassed ;)

The standard blue-red map has two problems... in rgb colors a certain red value like (128,0,0) seems stronger than the same blue value (0,0,128), and the midpoint is shifted towards the blues i.e. (0,64,64) is more blue than red. So you really don't get a good picture. I've really tried to fix both problems with some fancy math. Check it out.

Re: Even better map

Date: 2004-11-05 02:40 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] crouchback.livejournal.com
That map is really cool. Can you do it for 2004 as well as 2000?

I think your point about IL and CA is very, very sound. I know many people (overwhelemingly living in SF and LA) whou could not understand how Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected governor. But it was easy to understand why he won and why they were surprised when you looked at the map of results by county (http://www.uselectionatlas.org/GOVERNOR/GENERAL/gov_stateca.php).

Re: Even better map

Date: 2004-11-05 04:43 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] moominmolly.livejournal.com
Thank you! I was trying to figure out exactly the right thing to do with the purple county map -- perhaps express population density as color intensity? -- but I like your solution of using brightness instead.

Date: 2004-11-05 07:38 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] brewergnome.livejournal.com
I like the lost one, it shows how even it really is.

Re: Even better map

Date: 2004-11-05 08:27 am (UTC)
ext_86356: (Default)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
I agree - that's a great way to visualize the result!

Is this a project you're still working on? Would it be feasible to try to plot similar maps for the 2004 election?

Re: SIlly...

Date: 2004-11-05 08:28 am (UTC)
ext_86356: (Default)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
Yes, yes indeed. I only forgot to include the "Jesusland" map that's making the rounds...

Re: Even better map

Date: 2004-11-05 08:29 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
Excellent -- thank you! I like yours better than this map (http://www.esri.com/industries/elections/graphics/results2004_lg.jpg), which conveys the same idea, but I like your use of white for open space better.

crisp boundaries are not your friend

Date: 2004-11-05 08:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tjic.livejournal.com
http://tjic.com/blog/index_nov2004.php#05_Nov_2004_0 (http://tjic.com/blog/index_nov2004.php#05_Nov_2004_0)


Blurred, no boundaries:

Image


Blurred, boundaries:

Image


Date: 2004-11-05 10:11 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
Note: this helps explain Salt Lake City. It's a fairly big city, but it's not really diverse in the way that the others are.

Date: 2004-11-05 10:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
See, I've never bought the contention that exposure necessarily breeds tolerance. In fact, I can think of many counterexamples. For instance, I knew someone in high school whose father grew up in a community where there were many Hispanics. As a result, he was very prejudiced against them, but had no particular prejudices against Blacks. In the small segregrated town I lived in, however, I ran into a lot of anti-Black prejudice among my schoolmates. But when Hispanics moved into the community for the first time, they were met with something like fascination (being from LA and up on all the trends).

Another thing: Given the history of Chicago--solidly Democratic since its origins--I don't see that "Democrat" correlates very well with "liberal" or "tolerant". That's why I'm more inclined to assume that urban environments attract more liberals rather then that living in a city makes you less conservative.

Date: 2004-11-05 10:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
It's a similar story for the Jews: In much of the Old World, they were prohibited from owning land or farming until Emancipation in the 19th century. By that time, of course, they had become entrenched in urban areas and had no interest in a life of the soil. So, when they moved to the USA, they congregrated in larger cities while it was gentile peasants who founded farmsteads and villages.

Later immigrants also tended to congregate in cities. Was it primarily because cities were more tolerant or because, in an industrial society, that's where the jobs for unskilled labourers tend to be? The Great Migration, after all, didn't begin in the wake of the Civil War--most ex-slaves remained sharecroppers for generations--but in the shadow of WWII, when the factories of the Rust Belt needed every pair of hands they could find.

Due to the exploitative conditions, the urban proletariat was also ripe for radicalisation. I can't really see socialists and anarchists prosyletising from town to town in the Midwestern countryside, but I suppose some must've tried during the 20s and 30s. In contrast to the situation in Europe or Latin American, most of the rural dwellers were freeholders who had a stake in the status quo and no interest in revolution or redistribution. The same can't be said about factory workers living in urban slums.

Date: 2004-11-05 11:00 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
How do the suburbs fit into this idealised model? It seems to me that the community structure more closely resembles that of the city whereas the voting patterns have more in common with rural areas.

Date: 2004-11-05 12:01 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] khedron.livejournal.com
I think I'd argue (based on no real evidence) that suburbs and small towns are very much the same structure -- less diverse, more cohesive, based on some notion of us-ness. And I'm quite sure that Willamette wants to keep its taxes at home for its own schools, and ignore the Chicago public schools as much as possible.

Date: 2004-11-05 12:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ladydiana.livejournal.com
What are the black areas in that last one?

Date: 2004-11-05 12:39 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] reesei.livejournal.com
I'd always thought of suburbs as being rather like Iowa, actually. At least the "citified" part of Iowa where I grew up (where city is defined as 80,000 person town).

- Emphasis on quality education overwhelming almost everything else, because the main point of moving to the suburbs is family life
- Not quite having the culture of the big cities, not quite having the community of a small town, but trying hard for both
- Being slightly afraid that "city problems" - drugs, gangs - will invade and make your idyllic community much less so
- Strip-mall economy ;)

Iowa has been split right down the middle in voting for the past few elections. I don't know how the suburbs usually fare, but I'd always assumed they were the "soccer moms and nascar dads" that make up the middle both sides were chasing.

Again, I am not a sociologist - I don't necessarily have the facts to back any of this up; just my impression based on the variety of places I've lived and the prevalent attitudes there.

Date: 2004-11-05 01:35 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (befuddled)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
I found the website for the project that produced the map: http://www.princeton.edu/~rvdb/JAVA/election2004/. The author says:

Counties shown in black represent either missing election data or a mismatch between the US Census data and the USA Today data. For example, the New England states' election return data is given for each municipality and/or district rather than for each county. Hence, it couldn't be easily matched with the county boundaries.

Date: 2004-11-05 01:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] underwatercolor.livejournal.com
Mmm. map. Love that last one. :)

Date: 2004-11-05 01:43 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (cartoon)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
I don't think suburban communities are that similar to metropolitan ones. People largely move to the suburbs in order to get away from the closely clustered people without having to leave their jobs in the city. Socially I think it's more closely related to the small rural community model that [livejournal.com profile] reesi talked about.

Date: 2004-11-05 01:45 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Great Brook)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
The guy who drew the purple county map has Chicago counted, and he explained where his data came from: USA Today, amusingly enough. Illinois' results are at http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/PresidentialByCounty.aspx?oi=P&rti=G&sp=IL&tf=l.

Maybe USA Today drew their county map before Cook County had completed their count?

Date: 2004-11-05 01:50 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Quinn on shoulders)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
Wow, that's cool! And scary. :-)

Even if I had time, I'm not sure I would want to try coloring it in -- it's too hard to map congressional districts on the cartogram to the ones in the reality-based community. But nice work finding that! :-)

Date: 2004-11-05 01:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
One can say that of a lot of urban neighbourhoods as well. I mean, if you want to see community cohesiveness, go to Chicago's Pilsen sometime or St. Louis' Hill. Both are at least as ethnically homogenous as most suburbs or small towns and the robustness of their local organisations overwhelms anything I experienced in the countryside. I'm sure they'd love to keep their taxes for their own use as well (Pilsen's 18th St. generates more sales tax revenues per square foot than any other shopping district in Chicago outside of the Mag Mile), but they simply aren't allowed. True, community organisations are in an all-out battle against the local TIF, but that's because they (rightly, in my opinion) suspect that the money collected by this will be diverted to gentrify University Village and other areas within the shadow of UIC.

Date: 2004-11-05 02:38 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lhn.livejournal.com
It's a similar story for the Jews: In much of the Old World, they were prohibited from owning land or farming until Emancipation in the 19th century. By that time, of course, they had become entrenched in urban areas and had no interest in a life of the soil. So, when they moved to the USA, they congregrated in larger cities while it was gentile peasants who founded farmsteads and villages.

There are also problems that come with isolation for religious Jews, even if the surrounding community is tolerant. No kosher butcher (though kosher meat was shipped West pretty much as soon as transportation links were established). You need at least ten Jewish men for most significant religious observances. Even today, Sabbath restrictions make suburban (let alone rural) distances more inconvenient for Orthodox Jews than for others, which is one reason that in Chicago there's still a big contingent in the city and inner ring suburbs while Reform and Conservative Jewish communities have tended to follow the rest of the country into suburbanization.

Due to the exploitative conditions, the urban proletariat was also ripe for radicalisation.

Some of them came pre-radicalized, including my own ancestors (who AFAICT weren't quite Communists-- though a great-aunt was, and would defend Stalin till she died in the 1990s). My grandmother still doesn't know just what went wrong with me. :-)

I can't really see socialists and anarchists prosyletising from town to town in the Midwestern countryside, but I suppose some must've tried during the 20s and 30s.

My impression is that the Depression helped with that, what with lots of freeholders losing their farms due to debt, the Dust Bowl, and deflation. But they were ultimately diverted into the New Deal (which, let us remember, was still pretty radical by early twentieth century American standards).

Date: 2004-11-05 06:58 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sirreality.livejournal.com
The area around Pueblo, Colorado are the blue bloches you're seeing. The city has a decided blue-collar/Labor Dem slant.

Date: 2004-11-05 07:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] muckefuck.livejournal.com
Really? Let's compare those two (admittedly idealised) models again:

In small rural communities:
  1. "People tend to define 'us' as the group surrounding them."
  2. "Your 'us' is a small community, often built around churches as a community organization, and large extended families."
  3. "If anyone in their community needs help, they take care of them."
  4. "If someone needs help, people know it."
Whereas in big cities:
  1. "Your 'us' group has to encompass more people than you can personally know."
  2. "The personal support net has a looser weave."
  3. "And not everyone belongs to the same church, and in fact not everyone even belongs to a church."
  4. "And the population is more mobile, so the extended family unit is missing too."
  5. "So people in big cities are used to passing the charity duty off to the government, because otherwise there is no one there to help."
Do you know a lot of suburbs built around churches? Where families are sendentary and extended rather than nuclear and mobile? Where everyone knows everyone else and helps take care of them rather than expecting the government to step in? You say yourself that a lot of people move to them "in order to get away from the closely clustered people". Why would you expect those people to be quite significantly more involved in the lives of their neighbours than urban folk?

I've already pointed out elsewhere that many urban neighbourhoods are organised more like [livejournal.com profile] reesei's rural model than her urban one. I'm willing to bet, for instance, that all the dozens of extended Pakistani families in the Khan Associates-managed apartment building up the street from me know each other, know everyone's business, help each other, probably go to the same mosque, and don't expect much in the way of support from the government. Did they all vote Republican in that last election?

Date: 2004-11-06 05:20 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
topaz_munro, crouchback, moominmolly: thanks for the encouragement!

I just did the 2004 maps here...

http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/11/red-and-blue-reprise-2004.html (http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/11/red-and-blue-reprise-2004.html)

enjoy!

Cartogram by county

Date: 2004-11-08 08:58 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
There are a couple of purple county-level cartograms now.
I think the best of them is one of the several maps at
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/


Image
(http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/cartcolorslarge.png)

(click to enlarge.)

--Michael Kleber

Date: 2004-11-08 05:06 pm (UTC)
ext_86356: (Default)
From: [identity profile] qwrrty.livejournal.com
Fantastic! My hat is off to you, sir.

The difference-change map between 2000 and 2004 is especially cool, and a nice bonus.

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