maps maps maps maps maps
Nov. 4th, 2004 03:56 pmThe current meme going around seems to be electoral maps. We've all seen the state-by-state electoral breakdown, but here are some of the more interesting versions I've seen:
At http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/countymap.htm, a map of Democratic and Republican votes, broken down by county rather than by state:

At http://www.electoral-vote.com/carto/nov04c.html, a "cartogram," which is apparently a map scaled to population rather than area:

From http://www.boingboing.net. This map describes just the margin of victory. Each state is colored a shade of purple depending on how many Republican (red) or Democrat (blue) votes it got. This gives a much better idea of how mixed the vote was:

moominmolly and
claudia_ each posted a purple cartogram, combining the last two ideas. I think they did this independently, but I'm not sure.
claudia_ posted her version here:

And
moominmolly's is here:

I think this one is my favorite. A purple map drawn by county rather than by state. From KieranHealy.org.

Kieran links to a really huge version of this one: 1547x1053, 400KB.
At http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/countymap.htm, a map of Democratic and Republican votes, broken down by county rather than by state:

At http://www.electoral-vote.com/carto/nov04c.html, a "cartogram," which is apparently a map scaled to population rather than area:

From http://www.boingboing.net. This map describes just the margin of victory. Each state is colored a shade of purple depending on how many Republican (red) or Democrat (blue) votes it got. This gives a much better idea of how mixed the vote was:


And

I think this one is my favorite. A purple map drawn by county rather than by state. From KieranHealy.org.

Kieran links to a really huge version of this one: 1547x1053, 400KB.
no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 01:27 pm (UTC)Yeah, we apparently did it independently --
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Date: 2004-11-04 01:33 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 01:34 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 01:45 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 02:00 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 02:12 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 02:30 pm (UTC)It's interesting how little some things change in it, compared to the USA Today map. County divisions are still real.
Were you also bothered by the USAT map's lacking data for Chicago?
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Date: 2004-11-04 02:38 pm (UTC)It's interesting comparing it with a plain political map. The blue blotch linking Santa Fe and Denver is intriguing. What are those two bright blue counties in what appears to be South Dakota? Reservations?
Note also the sprinkling of strong blue in Black counties of the Southeast.
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Date: 2004-11-04 02:42 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 02:43 pm (UTC)I'm curious why Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Northern Texas, shade redder from East to West, which then stops at the state border.
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Date: 2004-11-04 02:51 pm (UTC)My co-worker put it this way: "Any time you have a lot of people crammed into a small space, they end up in the party that makes you get along with each other."
I didn't actually notice that the USA Today map didn't include Chicago results. Hmm.
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Date: 2004-11-04 02:57 pm (UTC)Of course, I don't actually believe it's something in the water; rather, just that big cities tend towards liberalism. I'd love an explanation (from a conservative) of that.
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Date: 2004-11-04 03:05 pm (UTC)SIlly...
Date: 2004-11-04 03:12 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 03:13 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 03:56 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 04:10 pm (UTC)It seems awfully convenient to think that being exposed to different types of people makes one more tolerant (where "tolerant" is kinda a loaded word). But even that's not the only issue. Take gun control. Maybe you're more likely to believe in gun control when you're in a high population density area? And so on.
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Date: 2004-11-04 06:44 pm (UTC)I found some good congressional district cartograms at http://www.ncgia.ucsb.edu/projects/Cartogram_Central/goal.html , if someone with the expertise want to colour them in. :)
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Date: 2004-11-04 06:46 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-04 07:19 pm (UTC)As far as group concentrations, I think you're right about the historical reasons. I was thinking about New Mexico and my grandparents owning a bit of land, and
Unfortunately, all that is to say that I think you're right, that was a chicken-or-egg thing, and we're back to the original question. Maybe your stock liberal, living in a big city, is exposed to more people who need help, and are thus more inclined to help them? This still seems like it's suffering from definitional blindness to me.
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Date: 2004-11-05 12:41 am (UTC)People tend to define "us" as the group surrounding them. In the bible belt, your "us" is a small community, often built around churches as a community organization, and large extended families. If anyone in their community needs help, they take care of them... and if someone needs help, people know it. It's a great system as far as it goes.
When you live in a big city, your "us" group has to encompass more people than you can personally know. And there are a lot more cracks to fall through... the personal support net has a looser weave. And not everyone belongs to the same church, and in fact not everyone even belongs to a church. And the population is more mobile, so the extended family unit is missing too. So people in big cities are used to passing the charity duty off to the government, because otherwise there is no one there to help.
People in small towns say "hey, we take care of our own, why should those city folk get the benefit of our tax dollars to take care of theirs? Stupid lazy godless welfare-state people."
People in big cities say "but you're getting _our_ tax dollars for your highways, farm subsidies, phone/water/electricity hookups, etc, at a much greater dollar-distributed-for-dollar-taken rate. What are you whining about?" (note: went to go check my facts before posting this... found this (http://www.nemw.org/fundsrank.htm). Note bottom 14 return-on-tax-dollar states: they're pretty much all blue. We're the ones getting taxed more and served less, and we're _still_ for larger government.)
And then we're stalemated.
And yes, I do see the value of not-big-city lifestyle... after all, I'm the insane one who is trying to go _back_ to the midwest, albeit in a college-town environment, which is more blue than most of it.
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Date: 2004-11-05 12:47 am (UTC)And from another map on the same page... yes, the blue spots are all reservations. The ones along the bottom are the Pine Ridge and Rosebud reservations; the larger splotch at the top are the Standing Rock and Cheyenne River reservations.
Even better map
Date: 2004-11-05 01:29 am (UTC)http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/10/red-and-blue-mapping-votes.html
I think they're the best but of course I'm biassed ;)
The standard blue-red map has two problems... in rgb colors a certain red value like (128,0,0) seems stronger than the same blue value (0,0,128), and the midpoint is shifted towards the blues i.e. (0,64,64) is more blue than red. So you really don't get a good picture. I've really tried to fix both problems with some fancy math. Check it out.
Re: Even better map
Date: 2004-11-05 02:40 am (UTC)I think your point about IL and CA is very, very sound. I know many people (overwhelemingly living in SF and LA) whou could not understand how Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected governor. But it was easy to understand why he won and why they were surprised when you looked at the map of results by county (http://www.uselectionatlas.org/GOVERNOR/GENERAL/gov_stateca.php).
Re: Even better map
Date: 2004-11-05 04:43 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 07:38 am (UTC)Re: Even better map
Date: 2004-11-05 08:27 am (UTC)Is this a project you're still working on? Would it be feasible to try to plot similar maps for the 2004 election?
Re: SIlly...
Date: 2004-11-05 08:28 am (UTC)Re: Even better map
Date: 2004-11-05 08:29 am (UTC)crisp boundaries are not your friend
Date: 2004-11-05 08:44 am (UTC)Blurred, no boundaries:
Blurred, boundaries:
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Date: 2004-11-05 10:11 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 10:44 am (UTC)Another thing: Given the history of Chicago--solidly Democratic since its origins--I don't see that "Democrat" correlates very well with "liberal" or "tolerant". That's why I'm more inclined to assume that urban environments attract more liberals rather then that living in a city makes you less conservative.
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Date: 2004-11-05 10:58 am (UTC)Later immigrants also tended to congregate in cities. Was it primarily because cities were more tolerant or because, in an industrial society, that's where the jobs for unskilled labourers tend to be? The Great Migration, after all, didn't begin in the wake of the Civil War--most ex-slaves remained sharecroppers for generations--but in the shadow of WWII, when the factories of the Rust Belt needed every pair of hands they could find.
Due to the exploitative conditions, the urban proletariat was also ripe for radicalisation. I can't really see socialists and anarchists prosyletising from town to town in the Midwestern countryside, but I suppose some must've tried during the 20s and 30s. In contrast to the situation in Europe or Latin American, most of the rural dwellers were freeholders who had a stake in the status quo and no interest in revolution or redistribution. The same can't be said about factory workers living in urban slums.
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Date: 2004-11-05 11:00 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 12:01 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 12:07 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 12:39 pm (UTC)- Emphasis on quality education overwhelming almost everything else, because the main point of moving to the suburbs is family life
- Not quite having the culture of the big cities, not quite having the community of a small town, but trying hard for both
- Being slightly afraid that "city problems" - drugs, gangs - will invade and make your idyllic community much less so
- Strip-mall economy ;)
Iowa has been split right down the middle in voting for the past few elections. I don't know how the suburbs usually fare, but I'd always assumed they were the "soccer moms and nascar dads" that make up the middle both sides were chasing.
Again, I am not a sociologist - I don't necessarily have the facts to back any of this up; just my impression based on the variety of places I've lived and the prevalent attitudes there.
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Date: 2004-11-05 01:35 pm (UTC)Counties shown in black represent either missing election data or a mismatch between the US Census data and the USA Today data. For example, the New England states' election return data is given for each municipality and/or district rather than for each county. Hence, it couldn't be easily matched with the county boundaries.
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Date: 2004-11-05 01:40 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 01:43 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 01:45 pm (UTC)Maybe USA Today drew their county map before Cook County had completed their count?
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Date: 2004-11-05 01:50 pm (UTC)Even if I had time, I'm not sure I would want to try coloring it in -- it's too hard to map congressional districts on the cartogram to the ones in the reality-based community. But nice work finding that! :-)
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Date: 2004-11-05 01:51 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 02:38 pm (UTC)There are also problems that come with isolation for religious Jews, even if the surrounding community is tolerant. No kosher butcher (though kosher meat was shipped West pretty much as soon as transportation links were established). You need at least ten Jewish men for most significant religious observances. Even today, Sabbath restrictions make suburban (let alone rural) distances more inconvenient for Orthodox Jews than for others, which is one reason that in Chicago there's still a big contingent in the city and inner ring suburbs while Reform and Conservative Jewish communities have tended to follow the rest of the country into suburbanization.
Due to the exploitative conditions, the urban proletariat was also ripe for radicalisation.
Some of them came pre-radicalized, including my own ancestors (who AFAICT weren't quite Communists-- though a great-aunt was, and would defend Stalin till she died in the 1990s). My grandmother still doesn't know just what went wrong with me. :-)
I can't really see socialists and anarchists prosyletising from town to town in the Midwestern countryside, but I suppose some must've tried during the 20s and 30s.
My impression is that the Depression helped with that, what with lots of freeholders losing their farms due to debt, the Dust Bowl, and deflation. But they were ultimately diverted into the New Deal (which, let us remember, was still pretty radical by early twentieth century American standards).
no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 06:58 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2004-11-05 07:43 pm (UTC)In small rural communities:
- "People tend to define 'us' as the group surrounding them."
- "Your 'us' is a small community, often built around churches as a community organization, and large extended families."
- "If anyone in their community needs help, they take care of them."
- "If someone needs help, people know it."
Whereas in big cities:- "Your 'us' group has to encompass more people than you can personally know."
- "The personal support net has a looser weave."
- "And not everyone belongs to the same church, and in fact not everyone even belongs to a church."
- "And the population is more mobile, so the extended family unit is missing too."
- "So people in big cities are used to passing the charity duty off to the government, because otherwise there is no one there to help."
Do you know a lot of suburbs built around churches? Where families are sendentary and extended rather than nuclear and mobile? Where everyone knows everyone else and helps take care of them rather than expecting the government to step in? You say yourself that a lot of people move to them "in order to get away from the closely clustered people". Why would you expect those people to be quite significantly more involved in the lives of their neighbours than urban folk?I've already pointed out elsewhere that many urban neighbourhoods are organised more like
no subject
Date: 2004-11-06 05:20 pm (UTC)I just did the 2004 maps here...
http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/11/red-and-blue-reprise-2004.html (http://obsidianorder.blogspot.com/2004/11/red-and-blue-reprise-2004.html)
enjoy!
Cartogram by county
Date: 2004-11-08 08:58 am (UTC)I think the best of them is one of the several maps at
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/
(http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/cartcolorslarge.png)
(click to enlarge.)
--Michael Kleber
no subject
Date: 2004-11-08 05:06 pm (UTC)The difference-change map between 2000 and 2004 is especially cool, and a nice bonus.